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SkiWeather.eu snow intelligence

Ax les Thermes snow history & reliability

Occitanie, France, 1400m

Selected season2025-2026
Archive2014-2026
Seasons12
Resort altitude1400 m

Season archive

Choose a winter and compare observed snow against the long-run November-April climatology.

Observed snow depth is shown for lower and upper slopes, with temperature as context. The long-run reference comes from the historical weekly climate model and is deliberately kept separate from individual reporting seasons.

Use observed seasons to understand what happened; use the climatology to understand what is normally reliable. Neither is a weather forecast.

Long-run snow reliability

Choose the part of winter that matters for your trip. Reliability is recalculated over that season span.

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Climate scopeLoading…
Snow reliability – Analysing
Weakest month–
Best month–
Typical upper snow–
Typical valley snow–
Daytime high–
Overnight low–
Month-to-month stability–
Covered months–
Loading long-run snow and temperature climatology…

Season position

Analysing

How the selected winter compares with the historical baseline.

The comparison uses only matching winter weeks, so an incomplete season is not treated as a full winter.

Loading archive
Vs typical–
Peak upper–
Mid-winter–
Spring–
Coverage–
Confidence–
Loading the selected season and historical reference…

Snowpack character

Selected season

Altitude dependence, retention and temperature context.

Upper and lower-slope depth are interpreted together; the gap between them indicates how strongly snow cover depends on elevation.

Upper mean–
Lower mean–
Altitude gap–
Spring retention–
Temp vs typical–
Peak timing–
Snowpack structure will appear when enough comparable weeks are available.

Archive confidence

Archive

Coverage and stability of the historical comparison.

This is an observational snow-depth archive, not a snowfall climatology. Confidence reflects reporting coverage and the number of comparable seasons.

Historical depth–
Comparable weeks–
Recent variability–
Checking archive consistency…

Selected ski season

2025-2026

Weekly snow depth and temperature through the selected winter.

Compare lower and upper-slope snowpack development through the active part of the season.

Previous ski season

2024-2025

The preceding winter as a direct reference season.

Use this card to see whether the selected season accumulated and retained snow earlier or later than the winter before it.

Long-run snow climatology

Typical season

Typical weekly mountain/valley depth and temperature from the long-run climate series.

This chart uses the indexed historical climatology behind Snow reliability. It is stable planning context, not an average of the currently selected reporting seasons and not a forecast.

Typical winter profile

Baseline

What the historical profile says about snow reliability.

The archive is interpreted by timing, depth, lower-versus-upper spread and late-winter retention.

Typical peak–
Peak week–
Upper mean–
Lower mean–
Late retention–
Altitude spread–
Building the long-run snow profile…

Snow depth in recent years

5 seasons

Upper-slope snow depth across the five most recent available winters.

The same week positions are aligned across winters, making year-to-year variability visible without duplicating week labels.

Recent variability

5-season context

How much recent winters differ from each other.

Season means are calculated from comparable upper-slope weeks so missing observations do not automatically make a winter look weak.

Strongest–
Weakest–
Spread–
Season range–
Comparing recent winters…
Longitudinal resilience

Insufficient History · 29/100

strongest in strong regional window

Insufficient · 14% evidence confidence
Resort read

Family progression base

Ax les Thermes Bonascre is best understood as a family progression base: easier terrain, moderate gradients and usable access make progression the strongest structural story.

Best fit

Progression-focused trips where easier and moderate terrain form a large part of the usable mountain.

Trade-off

Advanced skiers seeking a strongly technical profile may find the terrain mix less distinctive.

Strong current mountain signal

Supportive current weather.

Useful comparisons: Alpe Lusia — Similar altitude, terrain mix, scale and reliability. · Alpe Lusia — Same dominant resort personality with a comparable personality signature and mountain structure. · Les Monts dOlmes — Structurally related mountain with materially different current conditions.

Mountain intelligence

Why this resort matters now

Family progression base. Strong weather support with low current risk; 13°C upper mountain, 5 mm /48h precipitation.

Evidence confidence66%
Current setup94/100
Weather100/100
Risk0/100
Weather twinGargellen

A related mountain is experiencing a similar current weather setup.

Decision context

From current signal to next move

Current evidence stays separate from structural relationships; this sequence connects the signal to a practical comparison or next step.

Current read

Strong current mountain signal

Supportive current weather.

Opportunity 96/100Caution 9/100Confidence 66%Promising mountain-weather windowEvidence adequate
Interpretation

What supports this read

  • Supportive current weather
  • Lower current weather risk
Related intelligence

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Structurally similar ski areas from the Resort Intelligence Graph.

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Snow-profile peer

Alpe Lusia

Italy
99/100

Comparable long-run snow reliability and upper-mountain altitude.

Snow-profile peer

meran-2000

Italy
97/100

Comparable long-run snow reliability and upper-mountain altitude.

Snow-profile peer

Igls

Austria
95/100

Comparable long-run snow reliability and upper-mountain altitude.

Continue your resort check

Terrain, snow and weather for Ax les Thermes.